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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Monday, 2 November, (UTC+3)

Bellucci M. — Sonego L.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Bellucci M.50%
Sonego L.50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sonego L. to win (50%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Bellucci M. 50%, Sonego L. 50%.

Over 23.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bellucci M. 1537, Sonego L. 1585.

Probabilities

Games over 23.548%
Games under 23.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bellucci M. games
  • Sonego L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bellucci M.

  • 01.11Tirante T. A.2:0
  • 31.10Carreno-Busta P.2:0
  • 22.10Atmane T.1:2
  • 21.10Etcheverry T. M.2:1
  • 07.10Zhou Y.1:2

Sonego L.

  • 01.11Vallejo D.2:1
  • 31.10Munar J.2:1
  • 25.10Fearnley J.1:2
  • 24.10Vallejo D.2:1
  • 19.10Kouame M.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Bellucci M.Rinderknech A.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • Buse I.Bergs Z.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Musetti L.Hurkacz H.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Darderi L.Hijikata R.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • van Assche L.Navone M.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Tabilo A.Jodar R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Merida Aguilar D.Baez S.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • Norrie C.Arnaldi M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Ruud C.Cerundolo J. M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →