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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Monday, 2 November, (UTC+3)

Norrie C. — Arnaldi M.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Norrie C.63%
Arnaldi M.37%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Norrie C. to win (63%), came true.

Norrie C. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Norrie C. 1652, Arnaldi M. 1555.

Facts

  • Arnaldi M.: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Norrie C. games
  • Arnaldi M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Norrie C.

  • 29.10Medvedev D.1:2
  • 27.10Cerundolo F.2:0
  • 20.10Bonzi B.1:2
  • 08.10Svrcina D.1:2
  • 01.10Zverev A.0:2

Arnaldi M.

  • 26.10Darderi L.0:2
  • 19.10Musetti L.0:2
  • 10.10Fritz T.0:2
  • 08.10Tomic B.2:0
  • 03.10Alcaraz C.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Shelton B.Norrie C.3 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Buse I.Bergs Z.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Musetti L.Hurkacz H.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Darderi L.Hijikata R.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • van Assche L.Navone M.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • Tabilo A.Jodar R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Merida Aguilar D.Baez S.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • Ruud C.Cerundolo J. M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Bellucci M.Sonego L.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →