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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Monday, 2 November, (UTC+3)

Buse I. — Bergs Z.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Buse I.36%
Bergs Z.64%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Bergs Z. to win (64%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 64% fails in about 36 matches out of 100 on average.

Bergs Z. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Buse I. 1573, Bergs Z. 1616.

Facts

  • Buse I.: 3 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Buse I. games
  • Bergs Z. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Buse I.

  • 27.10Mannarino A.1:2
  • 10.10Bergs Z.0:2
  • 01.10Halys Q.0:2

Bergs Z.

  • 27.10Hurkacz H.1:2
  • 23.10Struff J-L.0:2
  • 22.10Dzumhur D.2:0
  • 20.10Samuel T.2:0
  • 14.10Paul T.0:2

Head to head

  • 10.10.2026Buse I. — Bergs Z.0:2

Full record: 2 meetings →

Next match

  • Buse I.Medvedev D.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:220.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →