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Tennis: ATP, Paris, qualifying, hard · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Carreno-Busta P. — Bellucci M.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Carreno-Busta P.58%
Bellucci M.42%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Carreno-Busta P. to win (58%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 58% fails in about 42 matches out of 100 on average.

Carreno-Busta P. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Carreno-Busta P. 1623, Bellucci M. 1509.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Carreno-Busta P. games
  • Bellucci M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Carreno-Busta P.

  • 24.10Fearnley J.1:2
  • 12.10Auger-Aliassime F.1:2
  • 10.10Tabilo A.2:1
  • 08.10Navone M.2:1
  • 02.10Medvedev D.0:2

Bellucci M.

  • 22.10Atmane T.1:2
  • 21.10Etcheverry T. M.2:1
  • 07.10Zhou Y.1:2
  • 06.10Muller A.2:0
  • 05.10Ymer E.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Tirante T. A.Bellucci M.1 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →