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Tennis: ATP, Paris, qualifying, hard · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Faria J. — Hijikata R.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Faria J.50%
Hijikata R.50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Hijikata R. to win (50%), came true.

Evenly matched: Faria J. 50%, Hijikata R. 50%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Faria J. 1552, Hijikata R. 1528.

Facts

  • Faria J.: 4 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Faria J. games
  • Hijikata R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Faria J.

  • 24.10Brunold M.0:2
  • 19.10Balshaw F.1:2
  • 07.10Gea A.1:2
  • 02.10Munar J.0:2
  • 01.10Fery A.2:1

Hijikata R.

  • 28.10Fritz T.0:2
  • 25.10Hanfmann Y.1:2
  • 24.10Kecmanovic M.2:0
  • 20.10Atmane T.0:2
  • 07.10Safiullin R.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Hijikata R.Kopriva V.1 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • Carreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Tirante T. A.Svajda Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Gaston H.Kopriva V.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Duckworth J.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Machac T.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kovacevic A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Griekspoor T.Bonzi B.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Balshaw F.Hanfmann Y.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →