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Tennis: ATP, Paris, qualifying, hard · Saturday, 31 October, (UTC+3)

Gaston H. — Kopriva V.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Gaston H.53%
Kopriva V.47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Gaston H. to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Gaston H. 53%, Kopriva V. 47%.

Over 21.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Gaston H. 1465, Kopriva V. 1508.

Facts

  • Gaston H.: 3 defeats in a row; Kopriva V.: 4 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 21.551%
Games under 21.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Gaston H. games
  • Kopriva V. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Gaston H.

  • 20.10Fearnley J.0:2
  • 05.10Draxl L.0:2
  • 27.09Rublev A.1:2
  • 25.09Faria J.2:1
  • 24.09Shimabukuro S.2:0

Kopriva V.

  • 24.10Neumayer L.0:2
  • 08.10Bergs Z.0:2
  • 28.09Molcan A.1:2
  • 25.09Shapovalov D.0:2
  • 23.09Hu J.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Hijikata R.Kopriva V.1 November · ATP · Paris
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • Carreno-Busta P.Bellucci M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Faria J.Hijikata R.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Tirante T. A.Svajda Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Duckworth J.Kecmanovic M.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Machac T.Landaluce M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Cerundolo J. M.Kovacevic A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Griekspoor T.Bonzi B.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Balshaw F.Hanfmann Y.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →