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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Tuesday, 27 October, (UTC+3)

Fernandez L. — Sakatsume H.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Fernandez L.40%
Sakatsume H.60%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Sakatsume H. to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.

Sakatsume H. are clear favourites: 60% against 40% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fernandez L. 1514, Sakatsume H. 1468.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fernandez L. games
  • Sakatsume H. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fernandez L.

  • 25.10Rybakina E.0:2
  • 24.10Bouzkova M.2:0
  • 23.10Alexandrova E.2:1
  • 21.10Sasnovich A.2:1
  • 19.10Mertens E.2:1

Sakatsume H.

  • 20.10Boulter K.0:2
  • 22.09Preston T.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Fernandez L.Mertens E.29 October · WTA · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Sakatsume H.Wong Hong Yi C.31 October · WTA · Hong Kong
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5

WTA on the same day

  • Joint M.Cirstea S.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • Li A.Alexandrova E.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Quevedo K.Kenin S.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Waltert S.Teichmann J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Zakharova A.Linette M.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Putintseva Y.Sakkari M.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Parry D.Bucsa C.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Sorribes Tormo S.Sonmez Z.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →