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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Tuesday, 27 October, (UTC+3)

Parry D. — Bucsa C.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Parry D.51%
Bucsa C.49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Parry D. to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Parry D. 51%, Bucsa C. 49%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Parry D. 1620, Bucsa C. 1561.

Facts

  • Parry D.: 3 defeats in a row; Bucsa C.: 5 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Parry D. games
  • Bucsa C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Parry D.

  • 19.10Eala A.0:2
  • 12.10Tararudee L.0:2
  • 02.10Preston T.0:2

Bucsa C.

  • 20.10Kudermetova P.0:2
  • 13.10Yastremska D.1:2
  • 03.10Sun X.0:2
  • 25.09Noskova L.0:2
  • 23.09Putintseva Y.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Bucsa C.Joint M.28 October · WTA · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →