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Tennis: WTA, Osaka, hard · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Krueger A. — Siniakova K.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Krueger A.51%
Siniakova K.49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Krueger A. to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Krueger A. 51%, Siniakova K. 49%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Krueger A. 1670, Siniakova K. 1675.

Facts

  • Krueger A.: 4 wins in a row; Siniakova K.: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Krueger A. games
  • Siniakova K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Krueger A.

  • 24.10Li A.2:1
  • 23.10Gibson T.2:0
  • 21.10Tararudee L.2:0
  • 19.10Tjen J.2:0
  • 15.10Swiatek I.0:2

Siniakova K.

  • 24.10Boulter K.2:0
  • 23.10Stoiana M.2:0
  • 22.10Linette M.2:0
  • 20.10Stearns P.1:1
  • 13.10Samsonova L.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Siniakova K.Tararudee L.28 October · WTA · Guangzhou
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →