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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, qualifying, hard · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Sasnovich A. — Rakhimova K.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Sasnovich A.49%
Rakhimova K.51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Rakhimova K. to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Sasnovich A. 49%, Rakhimova K. 51%.

Over 22.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sasnovich A. 1592, Rakhimova K. 1568.

Probabilities

Games over 22.547%
Games under 22.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sasnovich A. games
  • Rakhimova K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sasnovich A.

  • 24.10Starodubtseva Y.2:0
  • 21.10Fernandez L.1:2
  • 19.10Kasatkina D.2:0
  • 18.10Kalinina A.0:0
  • 17.10Bondar A.2:0

Rakhimova K.

  • 24.10Tsujioka S.2:0
  • 19.10Bouzkova M.0:2
  • 18.10Prozorova T.2:1
  • 17.10Yastremska D.2:0
  • 11.10Shi H.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Sasnovich A.Bartunkova N.27 October · WTA · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Rakhimova K.Alexandrova E.28 October · WTA · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →