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Tennis: ATP, Paris, hard · Monday, 2 November, (UTC+3)

Molcan A. — Droguet T.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Molcan A.49%
Droguet T.51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Droguet T. to win (51%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 51% fails in about 49 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Molcan A. 49%, Droguet T. 51%.

Over 22.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Molcan A. 1599, Droguet T. 1547.

Probabilities

Games over 22.549%
Games under 22.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Molcan A. games
  • Droguet T. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Molcan A.

  • 01.11Borges N.2:0
  • 31.10Altmaier D.2:0
  • 25.10Mannarino A.0:2
  • 24.10Medjedovic H.2:0
  • 07.10Cina F.2:1

Droguet T.

  • 25.10Neumayer L.0:2
  • 24.10Schwaerzler J. J.2:1
  • 20.10Altmaier D.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Molcan A.Fritz T.4 November · ATP · Paris
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:221.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →