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Tennis: WTA, Tokyo, hard · Tuesday, 27 October, (UTC+3)

Sasnovich A. — Bartunkova N.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Sasnovich A.30%
Bartunkova N.70%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Bartunkova N. to win (70%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 70% fails in about 30 matches out of 100 on average.

Bartunkova N. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Sasnovich A. 1588, Bartunkova N. 1732.

Probabilities

Games over 20.551%
Games under 20.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Sasnovich A. games
  • Bartunkova N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Sasnovich A.

  • 25.10Rakhimova K.2:0
  • 24.10Starodubtseva Y.2:0
  • 21.10Fernandez L.1:2
  • 19.10Kasatkina D.2:0
  • 18.10Kalinina A.0:0

Bartunkova N.

  • 14.10Paolini J.0:2
  • 13.10Tagger L.2:1
  • 10.10Andreeva M.0:2
  • 08.10Muchova K.2:0
  • 06.10Kraus S.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Sasnovich A.Shnaider D.28 October · WTA · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5

WTA on the same day

  • Joint M.Cirstea S.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • Li A.Alexandrova E.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Quevedo K.Kenin S.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Waltert S.Teichmann J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • Zakharova A.Linette M.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • Putintseva Y.Sakkari M.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Parry D.Bucsa C.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Sorribes Tormo S.Sonmez Z.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →