UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Austin Bashi — Lucas Brennanbeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Austin Bashi are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.
Why
- Elo rating: Austin Bashi 1490, Lucas Brennan 1450.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
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This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →