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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Featherweight

Keiichiro Nakamura — Ollie Schmidbeta

☆ Save bout

Model prediction for 8 November

Keiichiro Nakamura61%
Ollie Schmid39%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Keiichiro Nakamura are clear favourites: 61% against 39% for the opponent.

Why

  • Elo rating: Keiichiro Nakamura 1564, Ollie Schmid 1445.

Probabilities

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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.

  • Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
  • KO/TKO by each fighter
  • Goes the distance
  • Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form

Keiichiro Nakamura

  • 01.02Sebastian Szalay1:0

Ollie Schmid

  • 03.05Marwan Rahiki0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

UFC on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →