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UFC (mixed martial arts) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Heavyweight

Gabriel Lorenço — Thomas Petersenbeta

☆ Save bout

Model prediction for 8 November

Gabriel Lorenço43%
Thomas Petersen57%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Thomas Petersen are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Why

  • Elo rating: Gabriel Lorenço 1500, Thomas Petersen 1480.

Probabilities

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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.

  • Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
  • KO/TKO by each fighter
  • Goes the distance
  • Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form

Gabriel Lorenço

No past matches in the data yet.

Thomas Petersen

  • 26.07Valter Walker0:1
  • 05.04Guilherme Pat1:0
  • 12.10Vitor Petrino0:1
  • 04.05Don'Tale Mayes1:0
  • 02.02Shamil Gaziev0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

UFC on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →