UFC (mixed martial arts) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Dan Hooker — Brian Ortegabeta
☆ Save boutModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dan Hooker are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.
Why
- Elo rating: Dan Hooker 1473, Brian Ortega 1518.
Probabilities
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The chance of each fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, decision), whether the bout goes the distance, the fighters’ ratings, age and reach and how the estimate moved before the bout.
- Method of victory: KO/TKO, submission, decision
- KO/TKO by each fighter
- Goes the distance
- Fighters’ Elo, age and reach
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Form
- 06.09Salahdine Parnasse0:1
- 01.02Benoit Saint Denis0:1
- 23.11Arman Tsarukyan0:1
- 18.08Mateusz Gamrot1:0
- 09.07Jalin Turner1:0
- 24.08Aljamain Sterling0:1
- 15.09Diego Lopes0:1
- 25.02Yair Rodriguez1:0
- 17.07Yair Rodriguez0:1
- 26.09Alexander Volkanovski0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
UFC on the same day
- Amir AlbaziAlessandro Costapreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Asu AlmabayevKyoji Horiguchipreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Aleksandre TopuriaSantiago Lunapreliminary39612The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Jake MatthewsTahir Abdullayevpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 1—
- Shamil GazievTallison Teixeirapreliminary33672The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Jared CannonierIkram Aliskerovpreliminary18822The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Aljamain SterlingKevin Vallejospreliminary35652The model's most likely outcome: 2—
- Jiri ProchazkaNavajo Stirlingpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2—
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 bouts out of 100. How to read probabilities →