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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Bergamo (W) — Talmassons (W)beta

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Model prediction for 22 November

Bergamo (W)73%
Talmassons (W)27%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bergamo (W) are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 180 points in the match. First set: Bergamo (W) — 64%.

Over 180.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Bergamo (W) 1515, Talmassons (W) 1430; chance to win a single set: Bergamo (W) 64%.

Facts

  • Talmassons (W): 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 2 meetings: Bergamo (W) 1 win, Talmassons (W) 1.

Probabilities

First set: Bergamo (W)64%
First set: Talmassons (W)36%
Points over 180.550%
Points under 180.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Bergamo (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Bergamo (W)

  • 01.11Scandicci (W)0:3
  • 27.10away · Consolini (W)3:2
  • 21.10Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 18.10away · UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 11.10away · Novara (W)3:2

Talmassons (W)

  • 01.11away · Vallefoglia (W)0:3
  • 24.10Chieri '76 (W)0:3
  • 21.10away · UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)1:3
  • 18.10Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 11.10Cuneo (W)3:1

Head to head

  • 05.01.2025Talmassons (W) — Bergamo (W)0:3
  • 20.10.2024Bergamo (W) — Talmassons (W)1:3

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →