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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Firenze (W)beta

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Model prediction for 22 November

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)70%
Firenze (W)30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — 62%.

Over 181.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 1475, Firenze (W) 1409; chance to win a single set: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 62%.

Facts

  • Firenze (W): 4 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 3 wins, Firenze (W) 2.

Probabilities

First set: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)62%
First set: Firenze (W)38%
Points over 181.550%
Points under 181.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)

  • 31.10away · Chieri '76 (W)0:3
  • 24.10away · Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 21.10Talmassons (W)3:1
  • 18.10Bergamo (W)0:3
  • 10.10away · Conegliano (W)0:3

Firenze (W)

  • 01.11Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 25.10away · Cuneo (W)1:3
  • 21.10Brescia (W)2:3
  • 18.10away · Scandicci (W)0:3
  • 11.10Consolini (W)3:0

Head to head

  • 30.03.2026UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Firenze (W)3:0
  • 15.03.2026Firenze (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:1
  • 08.02.2026UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Firenze (W)1:3
  • 16.11.2025Firenze (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)0:3
  • 16.02.2025Firenze (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)2:3

Full record: 8 meetings →

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →