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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Macerata (W) — Vallefoglia (W)beta

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Model prediction for 22 November

Macerata (W)32%
Vallefoglia (W)68%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Vallefoglia (W) are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: Vallefoglia (W) — 60%.

Over 182.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Macerata (W) 1432, Vallefoglia (W) 1547; chance to win a single set: Vallefoglia (W) 60%.

Facts

  • Last 2 meetings: Macerata (W) 0 wins, Vallefoglia (W) 2.

Probabilities

First set: Macerata (W)40%
First set: Vallefoglia (W)60%
Points over 182.549%
Points under 182.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Macerata (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Macerata (W)

  • 31.10Cuneo (W)3:1
  • 25.10away · Brescia (W)3:1
  • 18.10away · Consolini (W)0:3
  • 14.10Scandicci (W)1:3
  • 11.10Vero Volley (W)1:3

Vallefoglia (W)

  • 01.11Talmassons (W)3:0
  • 28.10away · Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 21.10Cuneo (W)3:0
  • 16.10away · Brescia (W)3:1
  • 10.10Scandicci (W)3:2

Head to head

  • 08.02.2026Macerata (W) — Vallefoglia (W)1:3
  • 16.11.2025Vallefoglia (W) — Macerata (W)3:1

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →