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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Macerata (W) — Talmassons (W)beta

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Model prediction for 11 November

Macerata (W)57%
Talmassons (W)43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Macerata (W) are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

The most likely score in sets is 3:1. The model expects about 184 points in the match. The first set is close to even: 54% to 46%.

Over 184.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • The set ratings are nearly level: Macerata (W) 1432, Talmassons (W) 1430.

Facts

  • Talmassons (W): 4 defeats in a row.

Probabilities

First set: Macerata (W)54%
First set: Talmassons (W)46%
Points over 184.549%
Points under 184.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Macerata (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Macerata (W)

  • 31.10Cuneo (W)3:1
  • 25.10away · Brescia (W)3:1
  • 18.10away · Consolini (W)0:3
  • 14.10Scandicci (W)1:3
  • 11.10Vero Volley (W)1:3

Talmassons (W)

  • 01.11away · Vallefoglia (W)0:3
  • 24.10Chieri '76 (W)0:3
  • 21.10away · UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)1:3
  • 18.10Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 11.10Cuneo (W)3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →