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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Vallefoglia (W)beta

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Model prediction for 11 November

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)41%
Vallefoglia (W)59%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Vallefoglia (W) are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 184 points in the match. First set: Vallefoglia (W) — 55%.

Over 183.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 1475, Vallefoglia (W) 1547; chance to win a single set: Vallefoglia (W) 55%.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) 2 wins, Vallefoglia (W) 3.

Probabilities

First set: UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)45%
First set: Vallefoglia (W)55%
Points over 183.551%
Points under 183.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)

  • 31.10away · Chieri '76 (W)0:3
  • 24.10away · Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 21.10Talmassons (W)3:1
  • 18.10Bergamo (W)0:3
  • 10.10away · Conegliano (W)0:3

Vallefoglia (W)

  • 01.11Talmassons (W)3:0
  • 28.10away · Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 21.10Cuneo (W)3:0
  • 16.10away · Brescia (W)3:1
  • 10.10Scandicci (W)3:2

Head to head

  • 04.01.2026Vallefoglia (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 26.10.2025UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Vallefoglia (W)3:0
  • 05.01.2025UYBA Busto Arsizio (W) — Vallefoglia (W)3:1
  • 20.10.2024Vallefoglia (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0
  • 03.02.2024Vallefoglia (W) — UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →