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Serie A1 (Italian women's volleyball) · Wednesday, 11 November, (UTC+3)

Novara (W) — Conegliano (W)beta

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Model prediction for 11 November

Novara (W)10%
Conegliano (W)90%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Conegliano (W) are clear favourites: 90% against 10% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 167 points in the match. First set: Conegliano (W) — 76%.

Over 167.5 points — 50%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Novara (W) 1652, Conegliano (W) 1922; chance to win a single set: Conegliano (W) 76%.

Facts

  • Conegliano (W): 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Novara (W) 0 wins, Conegliano (W) 5.

Probabilities

First set: Novara (W)24%
First set: Conegliano (W)76%
Points over 167.550%
Points under 167.550%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Novara (W)
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Novara (W)

  • 02.11Brescia (W)3:0
  • 28.10away · Scandicci (W)2:3
  • 21.10Consolini (W)3:0
  • 17.10away · Vero Volley (W)0:3
  • 11.10Bergamo (W)2:3

Conegliano (W)

  • 01.11away · Firenze (W)3:0
  • 28.10Vallefoglia (W)3:0
  • 18.10away · Talmassons (W)3:0
  • 14.10away · Chieri '76 (W)3:0
  • 10.10UYBA Busto Arsizio (W)3:0

Head to head

  • 24.03.2026Conegliano (W) — Novara (W)3:1
  • 21.03.2026Novara (W) — Conegliano (W)0:3
  • 15.03.2026Conegliano (W) — Novara (W)3:2
  • 04.01.2026Conegliano (W) — Novara (W)3:1
  • 25.10.2025Novara (W) — Conegliano (W)0:3

Full record: 16 meetings →

Serie A1 (W) on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 90% will not happen in roughly 10 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →