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SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Milano — Trentinobeta

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Model prediction for 22 November

Milano21%
Trentino79%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Trentino are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 0:3. The model expects about 182 points in the match. First set: Trentino — 67%.

Over 182.5 points — 49%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Milano 1477, Trentino 1655; chance to win a single set: Trentino 67%.

Facts

  • Trentino: 3 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Milano 1 win, Trentino 4.

Probabilities

First set: Milano33%
First set: Trentino67%
Points over 182.549%
Points under 182.551%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Milano
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Milano

  • 01.11Padova3:0
  • 25.10Cuneo Volley3:2
  • 18.10away · Cisterna0:3
  • 26.04Modena1:3
  • 19.04away · Modena1:3

Trentino

  • 01.11away · Pordenone3:0
  • 25.10Cisterna3:0
  • 18.10away · Modena3:0
  • 05.05away · Modena1:3
  • 01.05Modena0:3

Head to head

  • 18.01.2026Trentino — Milano3:0
  • 30.11.2025Milano — Trentino0:3
  • 26.12.2024Trentino — Milano3:0
  • 13.10.2024Milano — Trentino1:3
  • 27.04.2024Milano — Trentino3:1

Full record: 10 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • PadovaMonzapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3186.5
  • PiacenzaPerugiapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3182.5
  • ModenaCisternapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0151.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →