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SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Piacenza — Perugiabeta

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Model prediction for 22 November

Piacenza23%
Perugia77%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Perugia are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 183 points in the match. First set: Perugia — 66%.

Over 182.5 points — 51%.

Why

  • Elo rating by sets: Piacenza 1668, Perugia 1835; chance to win a single set: Perugia 66%.

Facts

  • Piacenza: 3 wins in a row; Perugia: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Piacenza 0 wins, Perugia 5.

Probabilities

First set: Piacenza34%
First set: Perugia66%
Points over 182.551%
Points under 182.549%

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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.

  • Score in sets
  • Sets handicap Piacenza
  • Total sets
  • All points totals
  • Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form

Piacenza

  • 01.11away · Cisterna3:1
  • 25.10Modena3:0
  • 18.10away · Padova3:0
  • 12.04away · Perugia0:3
  • 09.04Perugia1:3

Perugia

  • 31.10away · Monza3:0
  • 28.10Padova3:0
  • 25.10Pordenone3:0
  • 18.10away · Cuneo Volley3:2
  • 17.05Zawiercie3:0

Head to head

  • 12.04.2026Perugia — Piacenza3:0
  • 09.04.2026Piacenza — Perugia1:3
  • 06.04.2026Perugia — Piacenza3:1
  • 15.02.2026Perugia — Piacenza3:2
  • 09.11.2025Piacenza — Perugia2:3

Full record: 11 meetings →

SuperLega on the same day

  • MilanoTrentinopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3182.5
  • PadovaMonzapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3186.5
  • ModenaCisternapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0151.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →