SuperLega (Italian volleyball) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Padova — Monzabeta
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Monza are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The most likely score in sets is 1:3. The model expects about 187 points in the match. First set: Monza — 59%.
Over 186.5 points — 51%.
Why
- Elo rating by sets: Padova 1347, Monza 1453; chance to win a single set: Monza 59%.
Facts
- Padova: 5 defeats in a row; Monza: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Padova 0 wins, Monza 5.
Probabilities
| First set: Padova | 41% |
| First set: Monza | 59% |
| Points over 186.5 | 51% |
| Points under 186.5 | 49% |
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The chance of every score in sets, set handicaps and totals, every points total, the teams’ ratings and how the estimate moved before the match.
- Score in sets
- Sets handicap Padova
- Total sets
- All points totals
- Teams’ Elo ratings by sets
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Form
- 01.11away · Milano0:3
- 28.10away · Perugia0:3
- 25.10away · Lube Civitanova0:3
- 18.10Piacenza0:3
- 08.04Monza0:3
Head to head
- 08.04.2026Padova — Monza0:3
- 04.04.2026Monza — Padova3:0
- 14.02.2026Monza — Padova3:0
- 08.12.2025Padova — Monza1:3
- 02.02.2025Monza — Padova3:1
SuperLega on the same day
- MilanoTrentinopreliminary21792The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:3182.5
- PiacenzaPerugiapreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:3182.5
- ModenaCisternapreliminary9371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:0151.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →