NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Atlanta Hawks — Detroit Pistons
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Detroit Pistons are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 110:115 — 225 points in total.
Over 225.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Detroit Pistons without Jalen Duren: that costs the team about 5.3 points a game.
- Pace: Atlanta Hawks 103.4, Detroit Pistons 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Atlanta Hawks — No. 16, 4–4; Detroit Pistons — No. 3, 6–1.
- Detroit Pistons: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Atlanta Hawks 1 win, Detroit Pistons 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Atlanta Hawks — Detroit Pistons | 110.5–114.9 | |
| Total over 225.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 225.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Atlanta Hawks points
- Detroit Pistons points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 03.11away · Indiana Pacers108:104
- 01.11away · New Orleans Pelicans99:121
- 30.10Cleveland Cavaliers114:111
- 29.10Miami Heat117:129
- 27.10away · Houston Rockets110:120
- 03.11away · Charlotte Hornets124:91
- 31.10away · Brooklyn Nets110:94
- 29.10Charlotte Hornets97:89
- 28.10away · New York Knicks97:111
- 26.10away · Philadelphia 76ers106:93
Head to head
- 26.03.2026Detroit Pistons — Atlanta Hawks129:130 OT
- 13.12.2025Detroit Pistons — Atlanta Hawks142:115
- 02.12.2025Detroit Pistons — Atlanta Hawks99:98
- 19.11.2025Atlanta Hawks — Detroit Pistons112:120
- 24.02.2025Atlanta Hawks — Detroit Pistons143:148
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Philadelphia 76ers | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Detroit Pistons | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Boston Celtics | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Washington Wizards | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Atlanta Hawks | 4 | 4 | .500 | 3 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | New York Knicks | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
NBA on the same day
- New York KnicksPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.3
- Dallas MavericksLos Angeles Clipperspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.0
- Minnesota TimberwolvesMemphis Grizzliespreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.2
- San Antonio SpursNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.4
- Sacramento KingsBoston Celticspreliminary14862The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →