NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
San Antonio Spurs — New Orleans Pelicans
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 83% against 17% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 121:108 — 228 points in total.
Over 228.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- San Antonio Spurs without Tobias Harris: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
- New Orleans Pelicans play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Facts
- League table: San Antonio Spurs — No. 9, 5–2; New Orleans Pelicans — No. 19, 3–4.
- San Antonio Spurs: 5 wins in a row; New Orleans Pelicans: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: San Antonio Spurs 4 wins, New Orleans Pelicans 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): San Antonio Spurs — New Orleans Pelicans | 120.8–107.6 | |
| Total over 228.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 228.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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Form
- 03.11Utah Jazz119:97
- 01.11Minnesota Timberwolves121:111
- 29.10away · Utah Jazz117:111
- 28.10Sacramento Kings130:103
- 25.10away · Dallas Mavericks122:106
- 03.11away · Memphis Grizzlies135:134
- 01.11Atlanta Hawks121:99
- 30.10Sacramento Kings132:120
- 29.10Denver Nuggets91:104
- 25.10away · Denver Nuggets135:141
Head to head
- 26.01.2026San Antonio Spurs — New Orleans Pelicans95:104
- 09.12.2025New Orleans Pelicans — San Antonio Spurs132:135
- 09.11.2025San Antonio Spurs — New Orleans Pelicans126:119
- 25.10.2025New Orleans Pelicans — San Antonio Spurs116:120 OT
- 16.03.2025San Antonio Spurs — New Orleans Pelicans119:115
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Golden State Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
| 12 | Phoenix Suns | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
NBA on the same day
- New York KnicksPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.3
- Dallas MavericksLos Angeles Clipperspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.0
- Minnesota TimberwolvesMemphis Grizzliespreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.2
- Sacramento KingsBoston Celticspreliminary14862The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.7
- Atlanta HawksDetroit Pistonspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →