NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Minnesota Timberwolves — Memphis Grizzlies
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Minnesota Timberwolves are clear favourites: 67% against 33% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 117:111 — 227 points in total.
Over 226.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Minnesota Timberwolves without Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo: that costs the team about 4.2 points a game.
- Memphis Grizzlies play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.
Facts
- League table: Minnesota Timberwolves — No. 11, 5–3; Memphis Grizzlies — No. 4, 6–1.
- Last 5 meetings: Minnesota Timberwolves 3 wins, Memphis Grizzlies 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Minnesota Timberwolves — Memphis Grizzlies | 116.6–110.6 | |
| Total over 226.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 226.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Minnesota Timberwolves points
- Memphis Grizzlies points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 03.11Milwaukee Bucks112:100
- 01.11away · San Antonio Spurs111:121
- 31.10Los Angeles Clippers127:101
- 29.10Golden State Warriors114:119
- 27.10away · Cleveland Cavaliers125:127
- 03.11New Orleans Pelicans134:135
- 01.11Sacramento Kings136:105
- 30.10away · Portland Trail Blazers124:103
- 27.10away · Utah Jazz110:105
- 26.10away · Sacramento Kings123:112
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — Memphis Grizzlies117:110
- 03.02.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Minnesota Timberwolves137:128
- 01.02.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Minnesota Timberwolves114:131
- 18.12.2025Minnesota Timberwolves — Memphis Grizzlies110:116
- 11.04.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Minnesota Timberwolves125:141
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Houston Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Memphis Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Golden State Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
NBA on the same day
- New York KnicksPortland Trail Blazerspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —221.3
- Dallas MavericksLos Angeles Clipperspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.0
- San Antonio SpursNew Orleans Pelicanspreliminary83171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.4
- Sacramento KingsBoston Celticspreliminary14862The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.7
- Atlanta HawksDetroit Pistonspreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →