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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Sacramento Kings — Boston Celtics

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Model prediction for 22 November

Sacramento Kings14%
Boston Celtics86%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boston Celtics are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 104:119 — 223 points in total.

Over 222.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray: that costs the team about 3.0 points a game.
  • Sacramento Kings play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Facts

  • League table: Sacramento Kings — No. 30, 1–6; Boston Celtics — No. 8, 5–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sacramento Kings 1 win, Boston Celtics 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Sacramento Kings — Boston Celtics103.9–118.8
Total over 222.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 222.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Sacramento Kings points
  • Boston Celtics points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Sacramento Kings

  • 03.11away · Dallas Mavericks115:100
  • 01.11away · Memphis Grizzlies105:136
  • 30.10away · New Orleans Pelicans120:132
  • 28.10away · San Antonio Spurs103:130
  • 26.10Memphis Grizzlies112:123

Boston Celtics

  • 03.11away · Houston Rockets93:109
  • 01.11away · Orlando Magic108:97
  • 31.10Chicago Bulls125:111
  • 28.10Brooklyn Nets125:124
  • 27.10Chicago Bulls134:99

Head to head

  • 31.01.2026Boston Celtics — Sacramento Kings112:93
  • 02.01.2026Sacramento Kings — Boston Celtics106:120
  • 25.03.2025Sacramento Kings — Boston Celtics95:113
  • 11.01.2025Boston Celtics — Sacramento Kings97:114
  • 06.04.2024Boston Celtics — Sacramento Kings101:100

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceDetroit Pistons761.8570.5
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceBoston Celtics752.7141.5
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceCleveland Cavaliers743.5712.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
14Utah Jazz716.1435.5
15Sacramento Kings716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →