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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Barcelona — Breogan

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Model prediction for 8 November

Barcelona77%
Breogan23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Barcelona are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 105:96 — 201 point in total.

Over 199.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Barcelona +4.9, Breogan −0.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Barcelona — No. 2, 4–2; Breogan — No. 5, 4–2.
  • Barcelona: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Barcelona 3 wins, Breogan 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Barcelona — Breogan104.7–96.0
Total over 199.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 199.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Barcelona points
  • Breogan points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Barcelona

  • 01.11away · Unicaja92:89
  • 30.10Valencia98:94
  • 27.10away · Bayern88:84
  • 24.10Basket Zaragoza99:81
  • 22.10away · Olimpia Milano89:81

Breogan

  • 01.11away · Obradoiro CAB110:90
  • 25.10Unicaja90:103
  • 17.10away · MoraBanc Andorra102:108
  • 10.10Basquet Girona115:92
  • 03.10away · Manresa101:95

Head to head

  • 08.03.2026Breogan — Barcelona78:109
  • 25.10.2025Barcelona — Breogan100:85
  • 02.03.2025Barcelona — Breogan102:79
  • 10.11.2024Breogan — Barcelona77:70
  • 17.03.2024Barcelona — Breogan85:88

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsReal Madrid6601.000—
2, PlayoffsBarcelona642.6672
3, PlayoffsValencia642.6672
4, PlayoffsTenerife642.6672
5, PlayoffsBreogan642.6672
6, PlayoffsBilbao642.6672

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →