Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Real Madrid — Murcia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Real Madrid are clear favourites: 85% against 15% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 101:89 — 190 points in total.
Over 189.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Real Madrid +10.5, Murcia +1.5 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Real Madrid — No. 1, 6–0; Murcia — No. 12, 3–3.
- Real Madrid: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Real Madrid 5 wins, Murcia 0.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Real Madrid — Murcia | 101.3–88.8 | |
| Total over 189.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 189.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
231 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Real Madrid points
- Murcia points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 01.11San Pablo Burgos90:79
- 29.10Fenerbahce95:76
- 27.10away · Baskonia104:86
- 25.10away · Forca Lleida122:86
- 22.10away · Maccabi Tel Aviv113:99
- 31.10Forca Lleida125:98
- 24.10Leyma Coruna88:81
- 18.10away · Valencia93:116
- 11.10Tenerife77:90
- 04.10Barcelona100:94
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Real Madrid — Murcia131:123 OT
- 30.12.2025Murcia — Real Madrid80:91
- 09.03.2025Real Madrid — Murcia80:75
- 03.11.2024Murcia — Real Madrid64:85
- 12.06.2024Murcia — Real Madrid73:84
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Real Madrid | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Barcelona | 4 | 2 | .667 | 2 |
| 11 | Obradoiro CAB | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 12 | Murcia | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 13 | San Pablo Burgos | 2 | 4 | .333 | 4 |
Liga ACB on the same day
- 77231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —200.8
- 23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —185.9
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —173.8
- 50501The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.6
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —191.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 85% will not happen in roughly 15 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →