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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

San Pablo Burgos — Valencia

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Model prediction for 8 November

San Pablo Burgos23%
Valencia77%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Valencia are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:97 — 186 points in total.

Over 185.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: San Pablo Burgos −1.3, Valencia +10.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: San Pablo Burgos — No. 13, 2–4; Valencia — No. 3, 4–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: San Pablo Burgos 0 wins, Valencia 5.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): San Pablo Burgos — Valencia88.7–97.3
Total over 185.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 185.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • San Pablo Burgos points
  • Valencia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

San Pablo Burgos

  • 01.11away · Real Madrid79:90
  • 28.10Rigas Zelli71:79
  • 24.10away · Manresa99:81
  • 21.10away · Tortona79:89
  • 17.10Obradoiro CAB72:79

Valencia

  • 01.11away · MoraBanc Andorra111:79
  • 30.10away · Barcelona94:98
  • 27.10Fenerbahce86:78
  • 25.10Baskonia84:75
  • 23.10away · Paris104:93

Head to head

  • 29.03.2026San Pablo Burgos — Valencia74:79
  • 02.11.2025Valencia — San Pablo Burgos100:82
  • 10.05.2022Valencia — San Pablo Burgos84:70
  • 16.10.2021San Pablo Burgos — Valencia65:69
  • 17.01.2021San Pablo Burgos — Valencia78:83

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, PlayoffsBarcelona642.6672
3, PlayoffsValencia642.6672
4, PlayoffsTenerife642.6672
12Murcia633.5003
13San Pablo Burgos624.3334
14Joventut Badalona624.3334

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →