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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Tenerife — Joventut Badalona

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Model prediction for 8 November

Tenerife69%
Joventut Badalona31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Tenerife are clear favourites: 69% against 31% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 90:84 — 174 points in total.

Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Tenerife +4.1, Joventut Badalona +1.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Tenerife — No. 4, 4–2; Joventut Badalona — No. 14, 2–4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Tenerife 3 wins, Joventut Badalona 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Tenerife — Joventut Badalona89.8–84.0
Total over 173.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 173.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Tenerife points
  • Joventut Badalona points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Tenerife

  • 31.10away · Leyma Coruna89:93
  • 28.10Venezia82:80
  • 25.10Obradoiro CAB106:76
  • 21.10away · Frankfurt104:94
  • 18.10Baskonia82:77

Joventut Badalona

  • 01.11Bilbao78:81
  • 25.10away · Basquet Girona87:101
  • 18.10Barcelona113:89
  • 14.10MoraBanc Andorra96:75
  • 11.10away · Baskonia73:93

Head to head

  • 20.05.2026Tenerife — Joventut Badalona98:100 OT
  • 03.01.2026Joventut Badalona — Tenerife78:67
  • 04.06.2025Joventut Badalona — Tenerife60:80
  • 02.06.2025Tenerife — Joventut Badalona96:81
  • 01.03.2025Tenerife — Joventut Badalona82:81

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, PlayoffsValencia642.6672
4, PlayoffsTenerife642.6672
5, PlayoffsBreogan642.6672
13San Pablo Burgos624.3334
14Joventut Badalona624.3334
15Leyma Coruna624.3334

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →