NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)
Boston Celtics — Dallas Mavericks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Boston Celtics are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 113:103 — 217 points in total.
Over 216.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Dallas Mavericks without Max Christie: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
- Dallas Mavericks play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Facts
- League table: Boston Celtics — No. 8, 5–2; Dallas Mavericks — No. 14, 4–3.
- Last 5 meetings: Boston Celtics 4 wins, Dallas Mavericks 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Boston Celtics — Dallas Mavericks | 113.2–103.4 | |
| Total over 216.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 216.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Boston Celtics points
- Dallas Mavericks points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 03.11away · Houston Rockets93:109
- 01.11away · Orlando Magic108:97
- 31.10Chicago Bulls125:111
- 28.10Brooklyn Nets125:124
- 27.10Chicago Bulls134:99
- 03.11Sacramento Kings100:115
- 31.10Houston Rockets116:111
- 29.10Oklahoma City Thunder120:96
- 27.10away · Miami Heat113:109
- 25.10San Antonio Spurs106:122
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Boston Celtics — Dallas Mavericks120:100
- 04.02.2026Dallas Mavericks — Boston Celtics100:110
- 07.02.2025Boston Celtics — Dallas Mavericks120:127
- 26.01.2025Dallas Mavericks — Boston Celtics107:122
- 18.06.2024Boston Celtics — Dallas Mavericks106:88
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Detroit Pistons | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Boston Celtics | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
NBA on the same day
- Phoenix SunsLos Angeles Lakerspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —231.8
- Los Angeles ClippersCharlotte Hornetspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —214.9
- Utah JazzSan Antonio Spurspreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.5
- Toronto RaptorsNew York Knickspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —219.6
- Washington WizardsHouston Rocketspreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.3
- Milwaukee BucksAtlanta Hawkspreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —231.0
- Sacramento KingsOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary26742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →