Sacramento Kings — Oklahoma City Thunder
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 110:119 — 229 points in total.
Over 228.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Sacramento Kings without Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray: that costs the team about 3.0 points a game.
- Oklahoma City Thunder without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace: that costs the team about 9.7 points a game.
Facts
- League table: Sacramento Kings — No. 30, 1–6; Oklahoma City Thunder — No. 7, 5–2.
- Last 5 meetings: Sacramento Kings 0 wins, Oklahoma City Thunder 5.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Sacramento Kings — Oklahoma City Thunder | 110.0–118.7 | |
| Total over 228.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 228.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
230 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Sacramento Kings points
- Oklahoma City Thunder points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11away · Dallas Mavericks115:100
- 01.11away · Memphis Grizzlies105:136
- 30.10away · New Orleans Pelicans120:132
- 28.10away · San Antonio Spurs103:130
- 26.10Memphis Grizzlies112:123
- 03.11away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:112
- 01.11away · Houston Rockets98:119
- 29.10away · Dallas Mavericks96:120
- 27.10Phoenix Suns125:114
- 26.10Los Angeles Clippers108:101
Head to head
- 20.11.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Sacramento Kings113:99
- 08.11.2025Sacramento Kings — Oklahoma City Thunder101:132
- 29.10.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Sacramento Kings107:101
- 26.03.2025Sacramento Kings — Oklahoma City Thunder105:121
- 02.02.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Sacramento Kings144:110
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Los Angeles Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 14 | Utah Jazz | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Phoenix SunsLos Angeles Lakerspreliminary41592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —231.8
- Los Angeles ClippersCharlotte Hornetspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —214.9
- Utah JazzSan Antonio Spurspreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.5
- Boston CelticsDallas Maverickspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —216.6
- Toronto RaptorsNew York Knickspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —219.6
- Washington WizardsHouston Rocketspreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.3
- Milwaukee BucksAtlanta Hawkspreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —231.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →