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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3)

Utah Jazz — San Antonio Spurs

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Model prediction for 16 November

Utah Jazz23%
San Antonio Spurs77%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

San Antonio Spurs are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 109:119 — 228 points in total.

Over 227.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Utah Jazz without Jaren Jackson Jr.: that costs the team about 3.8 points a game.
  • San Antonio Spurs without Tobias Harris: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.

Facts

  • League table: Utah Jazz — No. 28, 1–6; San Antonio Spurs — No. 9, 5–2.
  • Utah Jazz: 5 defeats in a row; San Antonio Spurs: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Utah Jazz 1 win, San Antonio Spurs 4.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Utah Jazz — San Antonio Spurs108.7–118.9
Total over 227.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 227.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Utah Jazz

  • 03.11away · San Antonio Spurs97:119
  • 31.10Portland Trail Blazers90:112
  • 29.10San Antonio Spurs111:117
  • 27.10Memphis Grizzlies105:110
  • 26.10Los Angeles Lakers123:132

San Antonio Spurs

  • 03.11Utah Jazz119:97
  • 01.11Minnesota Timberwolves121:111
  • 29.10away · Utah Jazz117:111
  • 28.10Sacramento Kings130:103
  • 25.10away · Dallas Mavericks122:106

Head to head

  • 03.11.2026San Antonio Spurs — Utah Jazz119:97
  • 29.10.2026Utah Jazz — San Antonio Spurs111:117 OT
  • 23.01.2026Utah Jazz — San Antonio Spurs109:126
  • 20.01.2026San Antonio Spurs — Utah Jazz123:110
  • 28.12.2025San Antonio Spurs — Utah Jazz114:127

Full record: 26 meetings →

Table

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceOklahoma City Thunder752.7141.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceSan Antonio Spurs752.7141.5
7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceGolden State Warriors853.6252
13Los Angeles Clippers716.1435.5
14Utah Jazz716.1435.5
15Sacramento Kings716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →