Phoenix Suns — Los Angeles Lakers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Los Angeles Lakers are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.
The model expects a score around 114:117 — 232 points in total.
Over 231.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
- Pace: Phoenix Suns 100.4, Los Angeles Lakers 98.4 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Phoenix Suns — No. 24, 1–4; Los Angeles Lakers — No. 6, 6–2.
- Phoenix Suns: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Phoenix Suns 3 wins, Los Angeles Lakers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Phoenix Suns — Los Angeles Lakers | 114.4–117.4 | |
| Total over 231.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 231.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
219 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Phoenix Suns points
- Los Angeles Lakers points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11away · Golden State Warriors113:116
- 31.10Denver Nuggets120:127
- 27.10away · Oklahoma City Thunder114:125
- 25.10Golden State Warriors131:122
- 22.10away · Portland Trail Blazers83:124
- 03.11Miami Heat138:117
- 02.11Toronto Raptors131:125
- 31.10away · Golden State Warriors95:112
- 29.10away · Los Angeles Clippers103:87
- 28.10Portland Trail Blazers129:136
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Los Angeles Lakers — Phoenix Suns101:73
- 27.02.2026Phoenix Suns — Los Angeles Lakers113:110
- 24.12.2025Phoenix Suns — Los Angeles Lakers132:108
- 15.12.2025Phoenix Suns — Los Angeles Lakers114:116
- 02.12.2025Los Angeles Lakers — Phoenix Suns108:125
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Los Angeles Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
| 12 | Phoenix Suns | 1 | 4 | .200 | 4.5 |
| 13 | Los Angeles Clippers | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Los Angeles ClippersCharlotte Hornetspreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —214.9
- Utah JazzSan Antonio Spurspreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.5
- Boston CelticsDallas Maverickspreliminary76241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —216.6
- Toronto RaptorsNew York Knickspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —219.6
- Washington WizardsHouston Rocketspreliminary30702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.3
- Milwaukee BucksAtlanta Hawkspreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —231.0
- Sacramento KingsOklahoma City Thunderpreliminary26742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →