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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Botafogo — Franca

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Model prediction for 13 November

Botafogo18%
Franca82%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Franca are clear favourites: 82% against 18% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 74:85 — 159 points in total.

Over 158.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Botafogo −6.7, Franca +8.0 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Botafogo — No. 12, 2–3; Franca — No. 10, 2–3.
  • Franca: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Botafogo 0 wins, Franca 5.
  • Days of rest before the match: Botafogo 11, Franca 9.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Botafogo — Franca73.9–85.4
Total over 158.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 158.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Botafogo points
  • Franca points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Botafogo

  • 02.11away · Brasilia77:76
  • 31.10Uniao Corinthians80:87
  • 29.10Caxias do Sul84:82
  • 25.10away · Pato88:89
  • 21.10away · Flamengo71:81

Franca

  • 04.11Minas76:87
  • 29.10away · Paulistano62:65
  • 27.10away · Corinthians Paulista48:78
  • 22.10Mogi90:74
  • 20.10Sao Jose90:59

Head to head

  • 28.04.2026Botafogo — Franca78:82
  • 26.04.2026Botafogo — Franca79:89
  • 23.04.2026Franca — Botafogo94:68
  • 18.02.2026Botafogo — Franca66:88
  • 11.11.2025Franca — Botafogo91:61

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003
10, PlayoffsFranca523.4003
11, PlayoffsBauru523.4003
12, PlayoffsBotafogo523.4003
13, PlayoffsCorinthians Paulista312.3333

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • Caxias do SulPatopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —141.2
  • Corinthians PaulistaPinheirospreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.6
  • OsascoMogipreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —153.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →