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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Osasco — Mogi

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Model prediction for 13 November

Osasco20%
Mogi80%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mogi are clear favourites: 80% against 20% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 71:82 — 153 points in total.

Over 152.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Osasco −9.0, Mogi +4.8 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Osasco — No. 14, 1–2; Mogi — No. 3, 3–1.
  • Last 2 meetings: Osasco 1 win, Mogi 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Osasco — Mogi71.4–82.0
Total over 152.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 152.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Osasco points
  • Mogi points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Osasco

  • 30.10Pinheiros74:89
  • 21.10away · Cearense93:69
  • 18.10away · Unifacisa70:96
  • 18.04away · Mogi76:73
  • 11.04Pato77:68

Mogi

  • 27.10Unifacisa78:70
  • 24.10away · Bauru79:61
  • 22.10away · Franca74:90
  • 17.10Corinthians Paulista84:73
  • 16.05away · Franca77:78

Head to head

  • 18.04.2026Mogi — Osasco73:76
  • 05.12.2025Osasco — Mogi68:93

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, PlayoffsPinheiros541.8001
3, PlayoffsMogi431.7501.5
4, PlayoffsFlamengo431.7501.5
13, PlayoffsCorinthians Paulista312.3333
14, PlayoffsOsasco312.3333
15, PlayoffsSao Jose413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →