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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Friday, 13 November, (UTC+3)

Corinthians Paulista — Pinheiros

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Model prediction for 13 November

Corinthians Paulista49%
Pinheiros51%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Corinthians Paulista 49%, Pinheiros 51%.

The model expects a score around 80:80 — 161 point in total.

Over 159.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Corinthians Paulista +5.6, Pinheiros +8.9 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Corinthians Paulista — No. 13, 1–2; Pinheiros — No. 2, 4–1.
  • Pinheiros: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Corinthians Paulista 2 wins, Pinheiros 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Corinthians Paulista — Pinheiros80.2–80.4
Total over 159.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 159.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Corinthians Paulista points
  • Pinheiros points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Corinthians Paulista

  • 27.10Franca78:48
  • 23.10away · Brasilia92:104
  • 17.10away · Mogi73:84
  • 27.05away · Pinheiros76:88
  • 24.05Pinheiros81:82

Pinheiros

  • 02.11Caxias do Sul91:53
  • 30.10away · Osasco89:74
  • 28.10Uniao Corinthians75:63
  • 23.10away · Cearense98:63
  • 20.10away · Unifacisa65:81

Head to head

  • 27.05.2026Pinheiros — Corinthians Paulista88:76
  • 24.05.2026Corinthians Paulista — Pinheiros81:82 OT
  • 21.05.2026Corinthians Paulista — Pinheiros98:84
  • 19.05.2026Pinheiros — Corinthians Paulista95:65
  • 04.04.2026Corinthians Paulista — Pinheiros74:69

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsMinas5501.000—
2, PlayoffsPinheiros541.8001
3, PlayoffsMogi431.7501.5
12, PlayoffsBotafogo523.4003
13, PlayoffsCorinthians Paulista312.3333
14, PlayoffsOsasco312.3333

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • Caxias do SulPatopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —141.2
  • BotafogoFrancapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.3
  • OsascoMogipreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —153.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →