NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)
Dallas Mavericks — Golden State Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dallas Mavericks are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.
The model expects a score around 116:114 — 230 points in total.
Over 229.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Dallas Mavericks without Max Christie: that costs the team about 2.8 points a game.
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 9.2 points a game.
Facts
- League table: Dallas Mavericks — No. 14, 4–3; Golden State Warriors — No. 10, 5–3.
- Golden State Warriors: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Dallas Mavericks 2 wins, Golden State Warriors 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Dallas Mavericks — Golden State Warriors | 116.2–114.1 | |
| Total over 229.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 229.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Dallas Mavericks points
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Form
- 03.11Sacramento Kings100:115
- 31.10Houston Rockets116:111
- 29.10Oklahoma City Thunder120:96
- 27.10away · Miami Heat113:109
- 25.10San Antonio Spurs106:122
- 03.11Phoenix Suns116:113
- 02.11Los Angeles Clippers124:112
- 31.10Los Angeles Lakers112:95
- 29.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves119:114
- 27.10away · Denver Nuggets134:114
Head to head
- 24.03.2026Dallas Mavericks — Golden State Warriors131:137 OT
- 23.01.2026Dallas Mavericks — Golden State Warriors123:115
- 26.12.2025Golden State Warriors — Dallas Mavericks126:116
- 23.02.2025Golden State Warriors — Dallas Mavericks126:102
- 13.02.2025Dallas Mavericks — Golden State Warriors111:107
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Golden State Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
NBA on the same day
- Cleveland CavaliersMemphis Grizzliespreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —231.2
- Indiana PacersHouston Rocketspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.2
- Miami HeatMilwaukee Buckspreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.6
- Orlando MagicPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.3
- Brooklyn NetsChicago Bullspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.2
- Toronto RaptorsWashington Wizardspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.7
- New Orleans PelicansDetroit Pistonspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.9
- Oklahoma City ThunderAtlanta Hawkspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →