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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks

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Model prediction for 19 November

Miami Heat72%
Milwaukee Bucks28%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Miami Heat are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 122:114 — 236 points in total.

Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Pace: Miami Heat 104.0, Milwaukee Bucks 101.9 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • League table: Miami Heat — No. 21, 2–5; Milwaukee Bucks — No. 29, 1–6.
  • Milwaukee Bucks: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Miami Heat 2 wins, Milwaukee Bucks 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks121.7–113.9
Total over 235.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 235.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Miami Heat

  • 03.11away · Los Angeles Lakers117:138
  • 31.10Indiana Pacers145:125
  • 29.10away · Atlanta Hawks129:117
  • 27.10Dallas Mavericks109:113
  • 25.10away · Charlotte Hornets110:115

Milwaukee Bucks

  • 03.11away · Minnesota Timberwolves100:112
  • 01.11Cleveland Cavaliers111:136
  • 29.10Houston Rockets100:132
  • 27.10Indiana Pacers110:102
  • 25.10away · Philadelphia 76ers116:127

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks112:105
  • 25.02.2026Milwaukee Bucks — Miami Heat128:117
  • 27.11.2025Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks106:103
  • 06.04.2025Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks115:121 OT
  • 24.02.2025Milwaukee Bucks — Miami Heat120:113

Full record: 38 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceCharlotte Hornets835.3754
10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceMiami Heat725.2864.5
11Orlando Magic725.2864.5
14Brooklyn Nets716.1435.5
15Milwaukee Bucks716.1435.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →