Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Miami Heat are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 122:114 — 236 points in total.
Over 235.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Pace: Miami Heat 104.0, Milwaukee Bucks 101.9 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Miami Heat — No. 21, 2–5; Milwaukee Bucks — No. 29, 1–6.
- Milwaukee Bucks: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Miami Heat 2 wins, Milwaukee Bucks 3.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks | 121.7–113.9 | |
| Total over 235.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 235.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
226 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Miami Heat points
- Milwaukee Bucks points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11away · Los Angeles Lakers117:138
- 31.10Indiana Pacers145:125
- 29.10away · Atlanta Hawks129:117
- 27.10Dallas Mavericks109:113
- 25.10away · Charlotte Hornets110:115
- 03.11away · Minnesota Timberwolves100:112
- 01.11Cleveland Cavaliers111:136
- 29.10Houston Rockets100:132
- 27.10Indiana Pacers110:102
- 25.10away · Philadelphia 76ers116:127
Head to head
- 13.03.2026Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks112:105
- 25.02.2026Milwaukee Bucks — Miami Heat128:117
- 27.11.2025Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks106:103
- 06.04.2025Miami Heat — Milwaukee Bucks115:121 OT
- 24.02.2025Milwaukee Bucks — Miami Heat120:113
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Charlotte Hornets | 3 | 5 | .375 | 4 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Miami Heat | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
| 11 | Orlando Magic | 2 | 5 | .286 | 4.5 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
| 15 | Milwaukee Bucks | 1 | 6 | .143 | 5.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Cleveland CavaliersMemphis Grizzliespreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —231.2
- Indiana PacersHouston Rocketspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.2
- Orlando MagicPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.3
- Brooklyn NetsChicago Bullspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.2
- Toronto RaptorsWashington Wizardspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.7
- New Orleans PelicansDetroit Pistonspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.9
- Oklahoma City ThunderAtlanta Hawkspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.4
- Denver NuggetsBoston Celticspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —220.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →