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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Indiana Pacers — Houston Rockets

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Model prediction for 19 November

Indiana Pacers32%
Houston Rockets68%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Houston Rockets are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 109:116 — 225 points in total.

Over 224.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Indiana Pacers without Tyrese Haliburton: that costs the team about 8.5 points a game.
  • Houston Rockets play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.

Facts

  • League table: Indiana Pacers — No. 23, 2–6; Houston Rockets — No. 2, 7–1.
  • Indiana Pacers: 5 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Indiana Pacers 2 wins, Houston Rockets 3.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Indiana Pacers — Houston Rockets109.4–115.8
Total over 224.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 224.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Indiana Pacers

  • 03.11Atlanta Hawks104:108
  • 02.11Brooklyn Nets90:98
  • 31.10away · Miami Heat125:145
  • 29.10Philadelphia 76ers109:114
  • 27.10away · Milwaukee Bucks102:110

Houston Rockets

  • 03.11Boston Celtics109:93
  • 01.11Oklahoma City Thunder119:98
  • 31.10away · Dallas Mavericks111:116
  • 29.10away · Milwaukee Bucks132:100
  • 27.10Atlanta Hawks120:110

Head to head

  • 03.02.2026Indiana Pacers — Houston Rockets114:118
  • 30.12.2025Houston Rockets — Indiana Pacers126:119
  • 05.03.2025Indiana Pacers — Houston Rockets115:102
  • 21.11.2024Houston Rockets — Indiana Pacers130:113
  • 07.02.2024Indiana Pacers — Houston Rockets132:129

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
11Orlando Magic725.2864.5
12Indiana Pacers826.2505
13Chicago Bulls716.1435.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceHouston Rockets871.875—
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceMemphis Grizzlies761.8570.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →