Oklahoma City Thunder — Atlanta Hawks
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 115:110 — 225 points in total.
Over 225.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Oklahoma City Thunder without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace: that costs the team about 9.7 points a game.
- Pace: Oklahoma City Thunder 99.8, Atlanta Hawks 103.4 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Oklahoma City Thunder — No. 7, 5–2; Atlanta Hawks — No. 16, 4–4.
- Last 5 meetings: Oklahoma City Thunder 4 wins, Atlanta Hawks 1.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Oklahoma City Thunder — Atlanta Hawks | 115.5–109.9 | |
| Total over 225.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 225.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Oklahoma City Thunder points
- Atlanta Hawks points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:112
- 01.11away · Houston Rockets98:119
- 29.10away · Dallas Mavericks96:120
- 27.10Phoenix Suns125:114
- 26.10Los Angeles Clippers108:101
- 03.11away · Indiana Pacers108:104
- 01.11away · New Orleans Pelicans99:121
- 30.10Cleveland Cavaliers114:111
- 29.10Miami Heat117:129
- 27.10away · Houston Rockets110:120
Head to head
- 30.12.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Atlanta Hawks140:129
- 26.10.2025Atlanta Hawks — Oklahoma City Thunder100:117
- 01.03.2025Atlanta Hawks — Oklahoma City Thunder119:135
- 28.10.2024Oklahoma City Thunder — Atlanta Hawks128:104
- 04.01.2024Atlanta Hawks — Oklahoma City Thunder141:138
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Washington Wizards | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Atlanta Hawks | 4 | 4 | .500 | 3 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | New York Knicks | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Los Angeles Lakers | 6 | 2 | .750 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Oklahoma City Thunder | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Cleveland CavaliersMemphis Grizzliespreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —231.2
- Indiana PacersHouston Rocketspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.2
- Miami HeatMilwaukee Buckspreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.6
- Orlando MagicPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.3
- Brooklyn NetsChicago Bullspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.2
- Toronto RaptorsWashington Wizardspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.7
- New Orleans PelicansDetroit Pistonspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.9
- Denver NuggetsBoston Celticspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —220.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →