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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Oklahoma City Thunder — Atlanta Hawks

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Model prediction for 19 November

Oklahoma City Thunder66%
Atlanta Hawks34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 115:110 — 225 points in total.

Over 225.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Oklahoma City Thunder without Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace: that costs the team about 9.7 points a game.
  • Pace: Oklahoma City Thunder 99.8, Atlanta Hawks 103.4 possessions per 48 minutes.

Facts

  • League table: Oklahoma City Thunder — No. 7, 5–2; Atlanta Hawks — No. 16, 4–4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Oklahoma City Thunder 4 wins, Atlanta Hawks 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Oklahoma City Thunder — Atlanta Hawks115.5–109.9
Total over 225.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 225.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Oklahoma City Thunder points
  • Atlanta Hawks points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Who may miss the game
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Form

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • 03.11away · Cleveland Cavaliers117:112
  • 01.11away · Houston Rockets98:119
  • 29.10away · Dallas Mavericks96:120
  • 27.10Phoenix Suns125:114
  • 26.10Los Angeles Clippers108:101

Atlanta Hawks

  • 03.11away · Indiana Pacers108:104
  • 01.11away · New Orleans Pelicans99:121
  • 30.10Cleveland Cavaliers114:111
  • 29.10Miami Heat117:129
  • 27.10away · Houston Rockets110:120

Head to head

  • 30.12.2025Oklahoma City Thunder — Atlanta Hawks140:129
  • 26.10.2025Atlanta Hawks — Oklahoma City Thunder100:117
  • 01.03.2025Atlanta Hawks — Oklahoma City Thunder119:135
  • 28.10.2024Oklahoma City Thunder — Atlanta Hawks128:104
  • 04.01.2024Atlanta Hawks — Oklahoma City Thunder141:138

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceWashington Wizards743.5712.5
7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceAtlanta Hawks844.5003
8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceNew York Knicks734.4293.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceLos Angeles Lakers862.7501
5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceOklahoma City Thunder752.7141.5
6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceSan Antonio Spurs752.7141.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →