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NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 19 November, (UTC+3)

Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics

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Model prediction for 19 November

Denver Nuggets48%
Boston Celtics52%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Denver Nuggets 48%, Boston Celtics 52%.

The model expects a score around 110:111 — 221 point in total.

Over 220.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
  • Boston Celtics play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.

Facts

  • League table: Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3; Boston Celtics — No. 8, 5–2.
  • Last 5 meetings: Denver Nuggets 3 wins, Boston Celtics 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics110.1–110.9
Total over 220.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 220.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Denver Nuggets points
  • Boston Celtics points
  • Regulation 1X2
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Form

Denver Nuggets

  • 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
  • 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
  • 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
  • 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
  • 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135

Boston Celtics

  • 03.11away · Houston Rockets93:109
  • 01.11away · Orlando Magic108:97
  • 31.10Chicago Bulls125:111
  • 28.10Brooklyn Nets125:124
  • 27.10Chicago Bulls134:99

Head to head

  • 26.02.2026Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics103:84
  • 08.01.2026Boston Celtics — Denver Nuggets110:114
  • 02.03.2025Boston Celtics — Denver Nuggets110:103
  • 08.01.2025Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics106:118
  • 08.03.2024Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics115:109

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Eastern Conference

Table «Eastern Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceDetroit Pistons761.8570.5
3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceBoston Celtics752.7141.5
4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conferenceCleveland Cavaliers743.5712.5

Western Conference

Table «Western Conference», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDallas Mavericks743.5712.5
10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conferenceDenver Nuggets633.5003
11New Orleans Pelicans734.4293.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head (the NBA's other tie-breakers are not applied)

Full table

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →