Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Denver Nuggets 48%, Boston Celtics 52%.
The model expects a score around 110:111 — 221 point in total.
Over 220.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
- Boston Celtics play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.
Facts
- League table: Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3; Boston Celtics — No. 8, 5–2.
- Last 5 meetings: Denver Nuggets 3 wins, Boston Celtics 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics | 110.1–110.9 | |
| Total over 220.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 220.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
223 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Denver Nuggets points
- Boston Celtics points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
Form
- 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
- 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
- 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
- 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
- 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135
- 03.11away · Houston Rockets93:109
- 01.11away · Orlando Magic108:97
- 31.10Chicago Bulls125:111
- 28.10Brooklyn Nets125:124
- 27.10Chicago Bulls134:99
Head to head
- 26.02.2026Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics103:84
- 08.01.2026Boston Celtics — Denver Nuggets110:114
- 02.03.2025Boston Celtics — Denver Nuggets110:103
- 08.01.2025Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics106:118
- 08.03.2024Denver Nuggets — Boston Celtics115:109
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Detroit Pistons | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Boston Celtics | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Cleveland CavaliersMemphis Grizzliespreliminary70301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —231.2
- Indiana PacersHouston Rocketspreliminary32682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —225.2
- Miami HeatMilwaukee Buckspreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —235.6
- Orlando MagicPhiladelphia 76erspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —222.3
- Brooklyn NetsChicago Bullspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.2
- Toronto RaptorsWashington Wizardspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.7
- New Orleans PelicansDetroit Pistonspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —227.9
- Oklahoma City ThunderAtlanta Hawkspreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →