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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Franca — Uniao Corinthians

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Model prediction for 21 November

Franca86%
Uniao Corinthians14%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Franca are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 84:71 — 155 points in total.

Over 154.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Franca +8.0, Uniao Corinthians −2.7 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Franca — No. 10, 2–3; Uniao Corinthians — No. 9, 2–3.
  • Franca: 3 defeats in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Franca 4 wins, Uniao Corinthians 1.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Franca — Uniao Corinthians84.5–70.5
Total over 154.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 154.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Franca points
  • Uniao Corinthians points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Franca

  • 04.11Minas76:87
  • 29.10away · Paulistano62:65
  • 27.10away · Corinthians Paulista48:78
  • 22.10Mogi90:74
  • 20.10Sao Jose90:59

Uniao Corinthians

  • 01.11away · Flamengo65:83
  • 31.10away · Botafogo87:80
  • 28.10away · Pinheiros63:75
  • 23.10Minas71:88
  • 20.10Cruzeiro83:74

Head to head

  • 20.01.2026Uniao Corinthians — Franca98:95
  • 31.10.2025Franca — Uniao Corinthians96:77
  • 03.04.2025Franca — Uniao Corinthians73:55
  • 07.12.2024Uniao Corinthians — Franca72:92
  • 30.03.2024Uniao Corinthians — Franca84:96

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
8, PlayoffsCruzeiro532.6002
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003
10, PlayoffsFranca523.4003
11, PlayoffsBauru523.4003

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • BauruCaxias do Sulpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —144.2
  • CearenseBotafogopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —161.9
  • OsascoCruzeiropreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —164.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →