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NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Osasco — Cruzeiro

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Model prediction for 21 November

Osasco42%
Cruzeiro58%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cruzeiro are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

The model expects a score around 81:84 — 165 points in total.

Over 164.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Osasco −9.0, Cruzeiro −3.2 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: Osasco — No. 14, 1–2; Cruzeiro — No. 8, 3–2.
  • Last 2 meetings: Osasco 0 wins, Cruzeiro 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Osasco — Cruzeiro81.1–83.7
Total over 164.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 164.5 (incl. OT)51%

223 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Osasco points
  • Cruzeiro points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Osasco

  • 30.10Pinheiros74:89
  • 21.10away · Cearense93:69
  • 18.10away · Unifacisa70:96
  • 18.04away · Mogi76:73
  • 11.04Pato77:68

Cruzeiro

  • 04.11away · Bauru78:74
  • 30.10Pato76:68
  • 28.10Brasilia80:89
  • 20.10away · Uniao Corinthians74:83
  • 18.10away · Caxias do Sul72:61

Head to head

  • 07.03.2026Osasco — Cruzeiro84:92
  • 18.11.2025Cruzeiro — Osasco98:76

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, PlayoffsBrasilia532.6002
8, PlayoffsCruzeiro532.6002
9, PlayoffsUniao Corinthians523.4003
13, PlayoffsCorinthians Paulista312.3333
14, PlayoffsOsasco312.3333
15, PlayoffsSao Jose413.2503.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

NBB on the same day

  • BauruCaxias do Sulpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —144.2
  • CearenseBotafogopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —161.9
  • FrancaUniao Corinthianspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —155.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →