NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Houston Rockets — Golden State Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Houston Rockets are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 117:111 — 228 points in total.
Over 227.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 9.2 points a game.
- Pace: Houston Rockets 99.2, Golden State Warriors 99.4 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Houston Rockets — No. 2, 7–1; Golden State Warriors — No. 10, 5–3.
- Golden State Warriors: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Houston Rockets 3 wins, Golden State Warriors 2.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Houston Rockets — Golden State Warriors | 117.2–110.7 | |
| Total over 227.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 227.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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Form
- 03.11Boston Celtics109:93
- 01.11Oklahoma City Thunder119:98
- 31.10away · Dallas Mavericks111:116
- 29.10away · Milwaukee Bucks132:100
- 27.10Atlanta Hawks120:110
- 03.11Phoenix Suns116:113
- 02.11Los Angeles Clippers124:112
- 31.10Los Angeles Lakers112:95
- 29.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves119:114
- 27.10away · Denver Nuggets134:114
Head to head
- 06.04.2026Golden State Warriors — Houston Rockets116:117
- 06.03.2026Houston Rockets — Golden State Warriors113:115 OT
- 27.11.2025Golden State Warriors — Houston Rockets100:104
- 05.05.2025Houston Rockets — Golden State Warriors89:103
- 03.05.2025Golden State Warriors — Houston Rockets107:115
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Houston Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Memphis Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | San Antonio Spurs | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 7, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Golden State Warriors | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
| 8, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Minnesota Timberwolves | 5 | 3 | .625 | 2 |
NBA on the same day
- Indiana PacersWashington Wizardspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.1
- New York KnicksCleveland Cavalierspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.6
- Toronto RaptorsBoston Celticspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —216.0
- Chicago BullsSan Antonio Spurspreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.6
- Memphis GrizzliesDenver Nuggetspreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —232.3
- Milwaukee BucksLos Angeles Lakerspreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.9
- New Orleans PelicansBrooklyn Netspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.1
- Utah JazzOrlando Magicpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →