NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Toronto Raptors — Boston Celtics
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Toronto Raptors 49%, Boston Celtics 51%.
The model expects a score around 108:108 — 216 points in total.
Over 215.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Toronto Raptors without Kawhi Leonard: that costs the team about 5.4 points a game.
- Boston Celtics play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Facts
- League table: Toronto Raptors — No. 13, 4–3; Boston Celtics — No. 8, 5–2.
- Last 5 meetings: Toronto Raptors 0 wins, Boston Celtics 5.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Toronto Raptors — Boston Celtics | 107.8–108.2 | |
| Total over 215.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 215.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Boston Celtics points
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Form
- 03.11away · Los Angeles Clippers125:118
- 02.11away · Los Angeles Lakers125:131
- 31.10Orlando Magic114:121
- 29.10Orlando Magic129:99
- 26.10away · Minnesota Timberwolves94:117
- 03.11away · Houston Rockets93:109
- 01.11away · Orlando Magic108:97
- 31.10Chicago Bulls125:111
- 28.10Brooklyn Nets125:124
- 27.10Chicago Bulls134:99
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Boston Celtics — Toronto Raptors115:101
- 10.01.2026Boston Celtics — Toronto Raptors125:117
- 21.12.2025Toronto Raptors — Boston Celtics96:112
- 07.12.2025Toronto Raptors — Boston Celtics113:121
- 26.02.2025Toronto Raptors — Boston Celtics101:111
Table
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Detroit Pistons | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Boston Celtics | 5 | 2 | .714 | 1.5 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Cleveland Cavaliers | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Toronto Raptors | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Washington Wizards | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Indiana PacersWashington Wizardspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.1
- New York KnicksCleveland Cavalierspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.6
- Chicago BullsSan Antonio Spurspreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.6
- Memphis GrizzliesDenver Nuggetspreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —232.3
- Milwaukee BucksLos Angeles Lakerspreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.9
- New Orleans PelicansBrooklyn Netspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.1
- Utah JazzOrlando Magicpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.2
- Houston RocketsGolden State Warriorspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →