NBA (National Basketball Association) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Memphis Grizzlies — Denver Nuggets
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Memphis Grizzlies 50%, Denver Nuggets 50%.
The model expects a score around 116:116 — 232 points in total.
Over 231.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.
Why
- Denver Nuggets without Spencer Jones: that costs the team about 2.2 points a game.
- Pace: Memphis Grizzlies 104.3, Denver Nuggets 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes.
Facts
- League table: Memphis Grizzlies — No. 4, 6–1; Denver Nuggets — No. 17, 3–3.
- Last 5 meetings: Memphis Grizzlies 1 win, Denver Nuggets 4.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Memphis Grizzlies — Denver Nuggets | 116.1–116.2 | |
| Total over 231.5 (incl. OT) | 51% | |
| Total under 231.5 (incl. OT) | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Memphis Grizzlies points
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Form
- 03.11New Orleans Pelicans134:135
- 01.11Sacramento Kings136:105
- 30.10away · Portland Trail Blazers124:103
- 27.10away · Utah Jazz110:105
- 26.10away · Sacramento Kings123:112
- 03.11Portland Trail Blazers110:118
- 31.10away · Phoenix Suns127:120
- 29.10away · New Orleans Pelicans104:91
- 27.10Golden State Warriors114:134
- 25.10New Orleans Pelicans141:135
Head to head
- 09.04.2026Denver Nuggets — Memphis Grizzlies136:119
- 19.03.2026Memphis Grizzlies — Denver Nuggets125:118
- 12.02.2026Denver Nuggets — Memphis Grizzlies122:116
- 25.11.2025Memphis Grizzlies — Denver Nuggets115:125
- 12.04.2025Denver Nuggets — Memphis Grizzlies117:109
Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Houston Rockets | 7 | 1 | .875 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Memphis Grizzlies | 6 | 1 | .857 | 0.5 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 6 in each conference | Portland Trail Blazers | 5 | 1 | .833 | 1 |
| 9, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Dallas Mavericks | 4 | 3 | .571 | 2.5 |
| 10, Play-in: 7th to 10th in the conference | Denver Nuggets | 3 | 3 | .500 | 3 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 4 | .429 | 3.5 |
NBA on the same day
- Indiana PacersWashington Wizardspreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.1
- New York KnicksCleveland Cavalierspreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —223.6
- Toronto RaptorsBoston Celticspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —216.0
- Chicago BullsSan Antonio Spurspreliminary22782The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.6
- Milwaukee BucksLos Angeles Lakerspreliminary23772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —233.9
- New Orleans PelicansBrooklyn Netspreliminary65351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —228.1
- Utah JazzOrlando Magicpreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —228.2
- Houston RocketsGolden State Warriorspreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →